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Defining a Standard Methodology to Obtain Optimum WRF Configuration for Operational Forecast: Application over the Port of Huelva (Southern Spain)

Defining a Standard Methodology to Obtain Optimum WRF Configuration for Operational Forecast: Application over the Port of Huelva (Southern Spain)

作     者:Raúl Arasa Ignasi Porras Anna Domingo-Dalmau Miquel Picanyol Bernat Codina Mª Ángeles González Jésica Piñón Raúl Arasa;Ignasi Porras;Anna Domingo-Dalmau;Miquel Picanyol;Bernat Codina;Mª Ángeles González;Jésica Piñón

作者机构:Technical Department Meteosim S.L. Barcelona Spain Department of Astronomy and Meteorology University of Barcelona Barcelona Spain 

出 版 物:《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 (大气和气候科学(英文))

年 卷 期:2016年第6卷第2期

页      面:329-350页

学科分类:07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

主  题:WRF Sensitive Analysis Meteorological Modelling Physical Options LES High Resolution 

摘      要:In this contribution, we calibrate the meteorological model weather and research forecasting (WRF) for operational forecasting in the Port of Huelva managed by the Authority Port of Huelva. Meteorological forecasting will allow reducing the impact of the meteorological phenomena over weather sensitive activities in the region. Concretely, the meteorological modeling developed will be used to analyze meteorological hazard impacts and to improve the management of the local air quality. To achieve these goals, numerous sensitive analyses corresponding to different model options have been developed. These analyses consider different physical and dynamical options, the coupling of very high resolution physiographic database (topography and land uses), and data assimilation. Comparing experiments, results with observational measures provide us by the Spanish National Meteorology Agency (AEMET). During a representative period, the optimum WRF configuration for the region is obtained. Calibration has been focused on wind due to this is the main risk factor in the region. When the model is satisfactorily calibrated, WRF is evaluated using whole modeling years 2012 and 2013, working with very high horizontal resolution, up to 0.333 km of horizontal grid resolution. Results obtained from the evaluation indicate that the numerical weather prediction system developed has a confidence level of 70% for the temperature, 81% and 66% for the wind speed and wind direction respectively, and 90% for the relative humidity. Methodology designed defines the quality control assurance of high-accuracy forecasting services of Meteosim S.L.

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