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Randomized Objective Function Linear Programming in Risk Management

Randomized Objective Function Linear Programming in Risk Management

作     者:Dennis Ridley Felipe Llaugel Inger Daniels Abdullah Khan Dennis Ridley;Felipe Llaugel;Inger Daniels;Abdullah Khan

作者机构:School of Business and Industry Florida A&M University Tallahassee FL USA Department of Scientific computing Florida State University Tallahassee FL USA College of Engineering Universidad Dominicana O&M Santo Domingo Dominican Republic School of Business Claflin University Orangeburg SC USA 

出 版 物:《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 (应用数学与应用物理(英文))

年 卷 期:2021年第9卷第3期

页      面:391-402页

学科分类:07[理学] 0701[理学-数学] 070101[理学-基础数学] 

主  题:Linear Programming Random Objective Function Profit Distribution Risk Monte Carlo Simulation 

摘      要:The traditional linear programming model is deterministic. The way that uncertainty is handled is to compute the range of optimality. After the optimal solution is obtained, typically by the simplex method, one considers the effect of varying each objective function coefficient, one at a time. This yields the range of optimality within which the decision variables remain constant. This sensitivity analysis is useful for helping the analyst get a sense for the problem. However, it is unrealistic because objective function coefficients tend not to stand still. They are typically profit contributions from products sold and are subject to randomly varying selling prices. In this paper, a realistic linear program is created for simultaneously randomizing the coefficients from any probability distribution. Furthermore, we present a novel approach for designing a copula of random objective function coefficients according to a specified rank correlation. The corresponding distribution of objective function values is created. This distribution is examined directly for central tendency, spread, skewness and extreme values for the purpose of risk analysis. This enables risk analysis and business analytics, emerging topics in education and preparation for the knowledge economy.

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