Study of Combination Forecasting in Airline Traffic Turnover

作     者：LIU Jun, QIU Wan-hua, WEI Cun-pingSchool of Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China 

作者机构：School of Management Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Beijing 100083 China 

出 版 物：《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 (系统科学与系统工程学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2001年第13卷第2期

页      面：233-239页

核心收录：

学科分类：07[理学] 070104[理学-应用数学] 0701[理学-数学] 

主　　题：forecasting combination forecasting air transportation forecasting 

摘      要：The basic theory and method of the combination forecasting are introduced. Based on the actual data in an airline, the case study was presented. In the case study, two basic forecasting models are set up, which are the time-regression plus seasonal factor model and the logarithm additive Winters model. And two combination models are established with the basic models, which are the optimal combination model and the regressive combination model. The results of the study are guidable to the practice.